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And the only reason $MNRO has been hurt is because cost conscious customers have been postponing the services that make all the money (tires, brakes, etc). You can only postpone these items for so long. The demand never goes away.... This is a temporary industry issue and $MNRO is winning market share.
Nice call - 100% agree! Having an exclusive retail partnership with Valvoline may make them even more attractive to a potential buyer now. Did you listen to the CEO speak last week? He know his stuff and they are already winning market share... What also makes this interesting is that not only does a sale to Mavis (who bought Pep Boys) make sense, but so does a piecemeal sale since $MNRO has very distinctive brands in different geographical locations.
Local oil change companies using vendors like Halron which get their supply from Shell are running out of OW-20 (includes Walmart / CostCo). Huge benefit to $MNRO who sources directly from Valvoline through an exclusive retail partnership. Soon places like TiresPlus, etc will have to implement massive price hikes that will drive market share for $MNRO. Really interesting situation especially since Ichan has economic interest of 33% in the company (16% share ownership / 16% swap agreement) and recently sold the inferior Pep Boys for a valuation that would price $MNRO at $25+. Now that Pep Boys has closed - wouldn't be surprised to see $MNRO get an offer very soon especially given their prime opportunity to take advantage of coming motor oil shortage.
Copart’s $1.9B Bet on ACV Auctions: a Deep Dive $CPRT $ACVA https://t.co/Z3ICni26v1
Copart $CPRT just acquired $ACVA for $1.9B. The filings came out on the 17th, and I've spent 12 hours a day analyzing everything since. I read so much my eye drops stopped cutting it, had to switch back to vitamin A for the dry eyes. As usual, the reality is way more complicated than anything I've seen on social media so far. I break it all down, and what it means for my Copart thesis. Have fun. (Link in bio/below.)
Genuine Parts targets NAPA network improvements, Motion’s industrial recovery and a 2027 Automotive-Industrial separation to lift sales,…
Value Capital Research 2 clicks@KULOLO808 @Kselvaganesan05 Not for me. I prefer to find alpha in that answer before allocating capital. Having money tied up in $TSLA these last few years would’ve cost me dearly in opportunity cost. It’s just not how I invest.
@SamuelRamson @KULOLO808 What’s “priced in” is highly interpretable, especially with a stock like $TSLA. No one can prove their answer to that question is right. It’s my take based on my calculations. I might be wrong.
@KULOLO808 prob between 1-2M future robotaxis priced in to $TSLA
@Adam17609412325 Also, given $AN skews more towards domestic (trucks!) with worse MPG than say $GPI and $ABG - which skew more towards imports+premium/premium luxury - I'd think higher fuel prices is a bigger headwind to Autonation
$AN CFO and head of IR really spooked the mkt yesterday... What a shitty appearance🤓
Copart's U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5% in 4Q26, largely from one customer loss, while international insurance units rose 11.2% and…
Uber trades at 14.5 times trailing free cash flow, while robotaxi competition and a Delivery Hero acquisition test its growth and leverage…
M&M Capital 
Copart’s 4Q26 revenue grew 2.4% as U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5%, while a customer loss and higher yard costs pressured profits despite…
"The story of the year has to be the consumer. It's been remarkably resilient in the auto space, and we've seen that with the last couple of months of industry demand, probably been a little bit stronger than we even thought coming into Q3" GM CFO $GM $F $ABG $GPI $AN $KMX
My issue with the JPM $APTV downgrade is the valuation framework. The report itself acknowledges RemainCo has a higher-margin software/interconnect mix and growing non-auto exposure, then continues to frame valuation primarily through a traditional auto-supplier relative-value lens. The entire point of the spin was to change the business mix. Why shouldn’t the valuation framework change with it?
$CHPT on the recent move up seems like a good fade of a terrible EV business model that will continue to struggle. I think the move was partly a short covering so i think it fades over the next few months.
@dstressedcos I think it’s a question of what multiple to apply to $APTV post-spin…
I don’t see how $APTV isn’t asymmetric here… https://t.co/vxgTMvaals
Tesla’s camera-only Cybercab enters a U.S. robotaxi market where Waymo already delivers 500,000 weekly rides, pitting scalable autonomy…
Doron Levin @freakyguy666 @jcosta29 not sure which trade you’re referring to but crushed most, though not all of the short term $TSLA trades when i was making them a couple yrs back. has been a while
$APTV 👀
In other auto dealership news, $LAD slowed down repurchases bigtime in Q3 after stock rallied post Q2 results. Lithia bought back ~7.5% of shares in H1, just ~0.5% QTD in Q3. Instead buying a Hyundai store in DFW.
Seaport upgrades $ABG on 'earnings inflection' (bought back 7% of shares in H1, mngmt seems to agree on future prospects/cheap valuation). Autotrader $AUTO.L upgraded by Jefferies as it's apparently an AI winner now (duh).
