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*ADVENT, STRIPE CONSORTIUM IS SAID TO DROP PURSUIT OF PAYPAL RIP $PYPL
We currently have only one real datapoint to work off from today’s gameplay reveal: depth of player interest in the gameplay. The better the gameplay, the greater the long-term monetization opportunity for $TTWO. That’s the variable I don’t think is priced in yet, and it’s what gives this trade meaningful upside and downside.
Ran dozens of social arb probability scenarios for how the world would react to today’s GTA VI gameplay reveal. This is playing out like a top 5% outcome. Did not expect this. Feels like the market came into today anchored to last week’s hacker leaks and primed for disappointment. It may take a minute to process what just happened. $TTWO
I agree there are differences in HBM vs. NAND. I said we are “around” the peak of the cycle, with $SNDK much more at risk. Memory is an intensely cyclical business with a long history of booms and busts. Cyclical peaks are typically associated with double and triple+ ordering, as we are seeing today. Paybacks on new capacity are 1 year or less; capacity will come. $ASML is the primary limiter of capacity growth for DRAM/HBM, which is bullish for limiting supply growth in those markets. NAND is far less defensible. Memory is the biggest pain point in the ecosystem today and many entrepreneurs and engineers are intensively focused on solving this problem with innovation and other adjustments. De-speccing is already commonplace and memory pooling is coming. Finally, I am not saying it is time to short these stocks (although I am short some $SNDK). What I am saying is it is very poor capital allocation for $MU, $SNDK, etc. to be buying back stock at these multiples of invested capital.
13 years of hype should have made today almost impossible to live up to. Somehow for most GTA fans Rockstar delivered. $TTWO https://t.co/Uh56v646rL
The GTA 6 trailer is insane. Could genuinely cause a boom in strip clubs, guns, drugs and alcohol GTA IV Basket: $RICK likely gets slammed $SWBI $RGR $MSOS $TAP $DEO Etc.
GTA VI gameplay reveal reactions coming in 10/10. You know what I did. $TTWO
SILC is the only pure play hardware pics and shovels for cybersecurity with $FTNT $NTSK $AVGO $CSCO $DELL etc, etc, as customers With a edge ai CustomNIC biz deals w/ hyperscalers just starting to grow Very uniquely positioned and favorable evaluation building upon multiple Qs of growth
Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…
Always fascinating people willing to pay over 2x multiple for a company like $TEAM which at current levels hard to argue is pricing in much disruption threat v. an $AMZN which has a higher growth rate too
$META has been pulling back on their Anthropic spending a bit this summer but is still spending hundreds of millions per month "Nat Friedman, Meta’s head of A.I. product, has told some employees that if Meta uses only its own coding tools or ones from OpenAI, it could lower Anthropic’s revenue before its public offering, the people said." -- NYT Curious what the S-1 will have to say about this
*META COULD SPEND UP TO $10B/YEAR ON ANTHROPIC AI: NYT So $META is like 15%+ of Anthropic's ARR? "At one point this year, Meta internally projected that it could spend as much as $10 billion annually on Anthropic’s A.I. models, said two of the people, who declined to be identified discussing private information. That would have formed a major chunk of Anthropic’s yearly revenue, which the start-up estimated in July would pass $65 billion." - NYT
Not only are $IGV and $SOXX both green today, but $IGV just flipped positive YTD, led higher by $CRM up 20%, and cybersecurity names ripping after $CRWD and $OKTA Software and Semis are friends again https://t.co/pYgkP9Rtsw
$MRNA offering $2B of Rule 144 convertible notes but says conversion price tbd. No 8-K so far. Great governance, guys. Keep up the insider sales. https://t.co/JK9PyjstS4
$SRAD already has deep partnership with Kalshi now adds poly Every other competitor will likely have to follow suit to keep up https://t.co/4zOwxX7fKZ
70% FY28 revenue growth is incredible, but if you were an $NVDA bear before that call, it’s very unlikely that view has changed (sure maybe funding shorts get covered) The bear argument is more intact than ever. Nvidia’s demand, while very robust, still comes in part from largely unprofitable companies/labs which are of course dependent on Nvidia for financing Jensen addressed these concerns directly, saying "frontier labs sales are skyrocketing, their margins are fantastic…they're generating profitable tokens…they're only limited by the amount of compute” The bear argument isn't going to be solved by fantastic numbers in any given quarter, it will take lots of time to be proven right or wrong
Hey @elonmusk. Can you DM me $SPCX next quarter EPS? I’m trying to forecast the company in my DCF model. I promise to not trade on this information.
$OKTA and $CRWD confirmed the agentic inflection has officially begun https://t.co/p9lToGNBvH
CEO of $PANW https://t.co/GtFSdnj25W
@PumpCapitalLLC Yeah $CASY rocks. About the closest you can get to a public Bucky’s