What CrowdStrike Shareholders Are Really Funding
CrowdStrike’s $318 million quarterly stock compensation and payroll taxes equaled 23% of revenue, diluting shareholders while non-GAAP…
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LULU · long Lululemon Athletica INC
Lululemon Athletica, a high-end women’s sportswear retailer, is presented as a long investment.
Infineon Technologies (IFX GY): Power Overwhelming
Infineon’s power semiconductors stand to benefit from AI data centers shifting to 800VDC power delivery, though its sharp rerating to…
Too Many Cooks Spoil The Pot
Baron’s BARAX and BGAFX hold SpaceX at a $1.25 trillion valuation, creating a potential NAV uplift if its IPO prices higher.
Broken Moats on X
Interesting the $AMZN Supply Chain Services announcement has been glossed over by competitor share price action after the initial announcement hit. $UPS has been up virtually everyday for the past 2 weeks + even though they alongside the LTL carriers like $SAIA $XPO are probably the most exposed to competitive pressures or price pressures. Trucking is being supported by heavy admin crackdowns (that will help foster inflation later this year and into next year) and AI demand in areas like flatbed. But LTL and parcel demand is lagging and has relied heavily on price in recent years to compensate for higher costs and volumes....AMZN entrance should pressure both sides for these companies especially domestic players, much less for global routes
KRYS · short Krystal Biotech INC
Krystal Biotech is a profitable commercial-stage biotech with an $8.7 billion enterprise value and one FDA-approved topical gene therapy,…
Fierce_beast on X
To me it's a situation where you just need one bad actor to go crazy with compute scale and it practically forces the hand of everyone else to do the same because they are scared if they don't they will lose the race. Or even better, they actually agree that you should go crazy with compute so they are doing it for rational reasons. Here this bad actor may not even be acting in bad faith and they might even be right. Look at OpenAI buying insane amounts of compute early on and many thinking they are insane and shorting stocks like $ORCL but suddenly over the last 2 months now hearing they are servicing their customers better than antrhopic and many people moving to openai.
SIRI · long Sirius Xm Holdings INC
SiriusXM, SIRI, combines a 32% EBITDA margin with 3.6x net leverage and a 16% free-cash-flow margin despite elevated capex.
PAA Research on X
Quick thoughts on the $GOOG raise: 1) Management is old enough to remember when this stock traded at much lower multiples for YEARS, good time to raise capital and it's not that much relative to the market cap. 2) The demands of data center build out/token cost are even more insatiable than we thought (see $HPE, $DELL, or the $NVDA overnight news) 3) Profitability/cash flow could be headed lower in a meaningful way at some point in the not too distant future for the search business. This is the most important take away IMO. Someone explain to me how you take the greatest business model ever created in Search/Adwords where you have 90% share and replace it with LLM's/AEO, while somehow maintaining the same profitability. The structural economics are WORSE and market share is materially worse. Search traffic is DOWN in many categories and that will only get worse from here as consumers engage with #openAI, #claude, #gemini at higher rates. Honestly, I don't know why this isn't the primary narrative around $GOOG currently. I'm sure there are people that will have different perspectives on this, but ask around to people that rely on search. Volumes are down in many areas already.
Mike on X
$HPE let's fucking go. https://t.co/OjNXeIX0yM
Mike on X
@Minnvestor $NVT you'd think would be up more today. Also w/ TPUs and Project Deschutes what w/ Anthropic S-1 and rev growth. Do you think just overlooked?
PAA Research on X
Not sure what to think about the action in the $SMH and $NVDA ecosystem names ripping higher as $GEV and $ENR giving back ALL of their gains since they reported 1Q26 results. Notable at the very least.
[scuttleslops] SPOT, UMG, TXN, SPGI, TRU, ADSK, MTCH, CSGP, DLTR
Spotify and Universal Music Group will offer licensed AI song covers and remixes as a Premium add-on, with artist opt-in and royalty…
EGO · long Eldorado Gold CORP
Eldorado Gold (EGO) is a long-life gold and copper miner with a rare growth profile across precious and base metals.
The last Bristol Myers' blog post was wrong on the core thesis
Ivonescimab plus chemotherapy extended median overall survival by 4.2 months versus Tevimbra plus chemotherapy in HARMONI-6, challenging…
CNH · long Cnh Industrial NV
CNH Industrial, the No. 2 global agricultural-equipment OEM, is pitched long at about $10 per share.
AEM · long Agnico Eagle Mines LTD
SoFi: DCF Valuation
SoFi's DCF values shares at $18, forecasting adjusted net revenue growth from 30% in 2026 to 3.5% by 2035 as it scales its digital bank…
Mike on X
Is there a specific reason for recent weakness in names like $LITE? Everything I see out recently e.g. the Rosenblatt note seems strongly bullish. Maybe just momentum capital flowing elsewhere? (Which would make this dip attractive potentially)
RGLD · long Royal Gold INC
Royal Gold, a $19 billion precious-metals royalty and streaming company, benefits from mine production without operating mines directly.
ANET · long Arista Networks INC
Arista Networks, at about $150 per share, is a $190 billion data-center networking franchise generating $9.7 billion of LTM revenue with…
STRL · short Sterling Infrastructure INC
Sterling Infrastructure short pairs STRL against EME and FIX, arguing data-center sitework contractors lack the margin upside available to…
ToffCap on X
This is why I don't short hype. $MU was already up +250% in 2025. Added another 200% ytd https://t.co/4h9dttAk7K
PAA Research on X
As it pops 10% on a solid quarter and guide, I find myself trying to remind the young ones that just THREE YEARS AGO, $ANF was the $MU/$SNDK of its time. Yes, it's true. The stock went up 10x in 18-months.... Now they continue to hammer away at the sharecount at a 7-10% annual rate, manage inventory levels tightly, and hope that teenagers can still find jobs this summer to buy low rise baggy jeans at #hollister
