Barbarian Capital on X
How PayPal’s CEO Is Planning to Go It Alone and Fix the Payments Giant $PYPL https://t.co/o18iIv2hgc
Saturday, September 12
Saturday, September 12, 2026
Everything we published on this day.
12 stories — the front page that day →
Adobe, Oracle, and Druckenmiller (NOTW#107)
Adobe’s RPO and ARR growth continue to decelerate, while Oracle’s AI cloud capex economics face a supply-normalization test.
Keurig Dr Pepper: Beverage Momentum And JDE Peet's Synergies Support A Buy
Keurig Dr Pepper’s U.S. beverage growth and JDE Peet’s acquisition support earnings growth as coffee-cost and tariff pressures ease.
Value Capital Research 1 clickRiverRoadPartners on X
Stan gave the example of 2001. $CSCO had aggressively grown its backlog every yr through the Internet 1.0 buildout & the Street expected the same in 2001, but instead $CSCO’s backlog plunged. The build was over, & with that equipment demand evaporated. That will happen again. https://t.co/7yB6vDgcl8
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Sometimes a simple chart and pun captures the entire thesis. Just go with the $FLO and make bread. https://t.co/VyIYTaVRF1 https://t.co/lGn8FncexY
Multiples Capital on X
Not an AI expert by any stretch, but wonder if US labs actually coordinate to "pace the frontier," it could be a stealth negative for Nvidia’s top-line growth rate. Here’s why: Flattening the Frontier Race: If scaling massive base models is intentionally delayed for alignment, the panic to hoard the newest, most expensive contiguous GPU clusters cools down. Shift to Post-Training & RL: Progress shifts to squeezing intelligence out of existing models via synthetic data and self-play. This relies on inference-class rollout fleets rather than cutting-edge pre-training mega-clusters. The Verification Layer: Evaluating, sandboxing, and grading all that synthetic RL data requires massive CPU compute .... benefitting $INTC Less brute-force pre-training = extended hardware refresh cycles and a normalized upgrade curve for $NVDA. Markets much smarter on this than I, will wait into see how the stock prices react to this next week!
Fierce_beast on X
For $CASY, let's say it grows earnings roughly 6% on average for the next 20 years, then 3% terminally. Maybe its 9% for the next 5 years, but gradually moves toward something like maturity of 3%, average let's say is 6%. What multiple would you currently pay on that earnings stream? Personally, i would pay no more than 25x for this. Add other considerations to the business, maybe you think it will grow faster or longer, adjust your multiple as you prefer.
Negligible Capital on X
“No one should be allowed to try and build better AI models than us” - Dario probably How come you never hear $META or $GOOG researchers crying wolf about the imminent dangers of AI? Or any open-sourced AI company? It’s seemingly always just Anthropic and OpenAI https://t.co/9UdFguBdPY
Negligible Capital on X
“No one should be allowed to try and build better AI models than us” - Dario probably How come you never hear $META or $GOOG researchers crying wolf about the imminent dangers of AI? Or any open-sourced AI company? It’s always just Anthropic and OpenAI, which don’t have nearly the cashflow to support their operations like Meta or Alphabet or Alibaba. Let AI defend against AI, not regulation
Trevor Scott on X
my mistake $ADBE has a Nov year end. so it's 12x nov 2027, 14x nov 2026.
AstraZeneca: The $5 Billion Pipeline Hole Did Not Stay Open Long
AstraZeneca's tozorakimab cut COPD attacks 29% to 34% in two Phase III trials, including 23% among low-eosinophil patients after Wainua's…
Sam Mancini Myles on X
I feel $GEO is a pretty decent short here. It's not cheap, and I might be politically biased, but I think it's hard to see Republicans getting many wins in the midterms, which the market will likely extrapolate to 2028.
