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Netflix INC

NFLX

44 stories

$511B Market cap · 2025-09-16

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Owning the Seven PM Slot

Netflix is using AI visual effects and dubbing to cut production costs, expand global distribution and reinforce its recommendation-driven…

Netflix

Netflix's 46% decline leaves it above a 4% forward free-cash-flow yield, as subscription pricing and a $3 billion advertising business…

@RagingVentures

Raging Capital Ventures on X

The capex spend is mind boggling, but I held my nose and bought $META today around $590-600 I don’t how the AI bet will shake out, but I do know that… - $META Reels is sucking up engagement share from everyone, even $NFLX - $GOOG search refers are in free fall, which should benefit $META’s ad network - Zuck is the best owner-operator in the business who is willing to pivot if necessary - There are tremendous AI cost efficiency opps in core $META operations (Note: I have a long and fruitful history with $META and my family members still own their shares going back to 2013, knock on wood)
@BlueDuckCap

BDC on X

Remember the good ole days when covering internet meant you just needed to have a view on: - If $GOOGL Search was going to accelerate or decelerate and what the opex was likely to be - $META fxn ad revs...how big a beat? Opex? - $NFLX are they going to beat on subs? - $AMZN AWS to accelerate? How much? Margins? EBIT guide? - $BKNG room nights ! I started my career covering these companies and a bunch of other internets....at that time capex was not something we cared about bc it didn't matter. It was a simpler time.

Netflix: Deep Dive Analysis

Netflix's Q3 guidance points to sub-12% growth as viewing hours rise about 2%, increasing reliance on pricing, paid sharing and advertising.

Netflix: What's Coming Next

Netflix’s $16.2 billion operating income follows its DVD-to-streaming and global pivots, but short-form video, YouTube and FAST services…

Netflix: DCF Valuation

Netflix’s updated DCF values shares at $88.50 versus $69, with slower revenue growth offset by higher margins and revised…

@BlueDuckCap 1 click

BDC on X

$NFLX incremental margins are 28%, down from 36% in Q1. Tech spend up 22%. Fastest growth in that opex line in many quarters. Incremental margins will improve in 2h, but beyond that, with more live events (expensive sports rights) and investment in short-form, on top of the usual long form scripted, I think there's risk to the pace of operating leverage going forward and thus investors will have less confidence in what has historically been a solid margin expansion story.

Deep Dive: Netflix ($NFLX)

Netflix's 325 million memberships and advertising business, guided to $3 billion of 2026 revenue, underpin a case for mid-teens…

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