Single Stock Spotlight #14: Kosmos Energy (KOS)
Kosmos Energy (KOS) is pitched as an oil stock poised to outperform if oil stays above $70-$80, supported by a claimed 2 billion-barrel…
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Commodities
Everything our editor has picked under this sector, best first.
169 stories
Thursday Tailwinds #6: Sep 10, 2026
Chinese coking-coal shutdowns, elevator modernisation and Japan’s cybersecurity push create multiyear demand tailwinds for suppliers.
Broken Moats on X
$VLO $MPC monster moves, and crack spreads continue to blow out, foreign fight for distillate capacity etc....but the cure for prices is always high prices. Seems like we might be nearing the top for the refiners
A Capital on X
Anyone have thoughts on $B going into the North America spin post-Newmont settlement? Feels like it’s been a pretty consistent laggard vs. the gold peers despite the potential value unlock. Curious what I’m missing. https://t.co/0qYNp2oMpe
Fundamentals Turn In Favor Of Farmland Partners
Farmland Partners trades at 70% of NAV, with farmland appreciation, commodity prices and crop insurance supporting earnings beyond AFFO.
Dane Bowler JabroniCoin.USD on X
UBS on $CENX Oklahoma optionality “The only real growth story in aluminum, or meaningful shareholder returns” https://t.co/56beYZN7hE
SG on X
@fides_capital and sugar $SB
Titan Mining Q2 Update
Titan Mining reported Q2 revenue of $25.7 million and adjusted EBITDA of $9.6 million as zinc output rose, while advancing its Kilbourne…
Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C September 7, 2026
U.S. CPI and PPI headline the September 7 week as the S&P 500 holds key averages, Bitcoin faces $82,000 resistance and gold tests its…
SSR Mining: The Cash Is In, And Shares Are Still Cheap
SSR Mining holds $1.8 billion cash with no debt after exiting Turkey, while higher costs persist.
The Supercycle Investor 2 clicksSG on X
At one time my largest position was short $KOLD calls. Considering rebuilding this position. KOLD is the 2x natgas bear ETF. https://t.co/gEVYK0445e
SG on X
imo the risk is not egg price going lower -- its very low right now, and $VITL gets sells into the premium tier. but the company is exposed to corn/soy. At least the last time I checked it did not hedge. Those have moved up a lot in the past few months, so my best guess is that Vital Farms is getting squeezed rn between low egg prices and high input costs. long term, that could clear the deck of weak competitors. Short term, might make for a rough few quarters.
Hershey: The Bear Case Just Melted, I'm Upgrading To Bullish While Yielding 3.32%
Hershey raised guidance after a Q2 beat as cocoa deflation and improved logistics support margins.
Steven Fiorillo 
McEwen Inc.: The Gold Bar Miss Is Fixable, The Copper Is Free
McEwen Inc. targets production growth from 115,700 ounces in 2025 to 300,000 by 2030, with Los Azules copper optionality and a McEwen…
The Bullionaire Lee Roach on X
The egg market is getting killed and I am tempted to play this cycle bottom. Anyone up to speed on $VITL? This thing is looking so beaten down. https://t.co/wUgfMUorWW
JabroniCoin.USD on X
UBS: We believe $CENX offers the best leverage to a US Regional Premium that is sustainably higher. CENX currently trades at ~3.1x UBSe 2027 EBITDA estimates (below ~5x normalized 5yr average). We expect CENX to rerate towards our ~4x peak multiple driven by clarity… https://t.co/93RbEN5Ex7
A Capital on X
@everyonehatesp1 Idk but the lack of insight on coal names yesterday cost me this trade. Do better. $METC
Mosaic: Potash Is Holding Up, But Phosphate Economics Keep Me On The Sidelines
Mosaic’s potash business remains profitable, but negative phosphate margins, elevated sulfur and ammonia costs, and negative free cash flow…
DCF Value Investor 3 clicks
Expand Energy: Short-Term Protection From Hedges, Long-Term Upside
Expand Energy’s hedge book and Twin Eagle acquisition support free cash flow through weak gas prices, while LNG export growth could lift…
Elliott Gue 4 clicks
Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal
Chevron committed $7 billion to expand Venezuelan output as record U.S. production and elevated oil prices lifted Q2 earnings.
Bay Area Ideas 3 clicks
(Public) US Crude Oil Production Is Showing A Lot Of Weakness
US crude oil output fell from an adjusted 14.317 million b/d in April to roughly 13.5 million b/d in May and June, signaling a shale…
Nat Stewart on X
$GSM Ferroglobe up today on announcement of a European review of antidumping measures on Chinese silicon metal Has been in a volatile trading range for years, but potential bull points appear be stacking up. (I own long dated calls, watchlist stock)
An ATM that starts to spit out cash
Andrada Mining’s Uis ore sorter targets higher tin grades and lower unit costs after FY26 operating cash flow reached £4.7 million, but…
DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X
Huge overnight news for #E15 / $ALTO $GPRE in a vote that HAD to be approved before midnight and made it by seconds.... year-round E15 (from NO E15) will now begin in CA beginning 1/1/2027!! This is 600M+ gallons of ethanol demand that will lead to very strong 2027 crush margins while also significantly increasing the value of $ALTO's western ethanol plants. The bill approved E10 vapor recovery systems for E15 use: https://t.co/7gr7rtBX7t
