Mike on X
@HiddenGemsInves Probably $ESP
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@HiddenGemsInves Probably $ESP
Hey @elonmusk. Can you DM me $SPCX next quarter EPS? I’m trying to forecast the company in my DCF model. I promise to not trade on this information.
I’ll be studying the following Delta Sheets: $NSYS - another one of those never ending - “just wait for it, change is coming soon!” - stories. Anyways.. mentions data centers as an opportunity + has defense & medical device angles. Selling near book. $USIO - some smart investors seem to like this payment processing turnaround.
@scottfelsenthal It used to be on my do not buy list. However, it’s back on my watchlist. For the record, $SIF was also on my do not buy list for years. 🤐… until recently.. Regarding $OML.V, I think they’ve been setting that gross margin expansion target for a while. So, we’ll have to see.
👀 Potential $SIF InfoArb worth digging into… $RTX (Raytheon) just received a massive $22.9B, 7-year Tomahawk contract, with production targeted to ramp to 1,000+ missiles/year. What’s interesting is that Raytheon says the production ramp will “require investment across its supply chain and working with hundreds of small and midsized suppliers.” $SIF explicitly says its military-aerospace forgings are used in “Missile & Ordnance” applications. They also list Raytheon among its customers Given that Raytheon is now “looking across its supplier base to support an enormous munitions ramp,” does SIF maybe have a fighting chance here? There are probably more direct beneficiaries than SIF. But for its size, even a relatively small piece of the work could move the needle… it’s a rabbit hole worth digging into. 🔎… Time for @realLigerCub to step in :) Important caveat: I have found no evidence that SIF supplies Tomahawk, or even that its existing Raytheon relationship is tied specifically to Raytheon’s missile business.
@mathlonning $SIF especially, I thought the Q was good
I used to like $EML, but it was never able to sustain the momentum it was gaining prior to COVID, partly due to its exposure to the cyclical trucking market. It's recent acquisitions in the aerospace could make it interesting again. https://t.co/u7uvBGERlA
Elroy Air makes big inroads in military eVTOL, here autonomous cargo drones. $KTOS to manufacture. Going public soon via merger with $CMII / $IPXG SPAC. https://t.co/GgJ06SqbKI
$ESP - >$70B of funding for the submarines they are sole source suppliers of certain power components (e.g. transformers) to. Minor InfoArb: Trump's recent exec order (see photo). This does three nice things: 1. Establishes a component repair centair for critical components (what Espey makes) for submarines. This will increase depot stocking orders and can push demand to Espey ahead of actual submarines builds. 2. Freezing designs w/out approval from DoW is bullish incumbents 3. Given that the memo is identifying the need for robust supplier bases, I'd expect the possibility of more Naval grants/investments
I was lucky enough to get to pitch $BUKS at the MS Microcaps Microcaps Summer Virtual Conference. You can now watch the full video now. https://t.co/JZf2c2dTIS
Bingo. Executive order just signed to go into effect soon...domestic suppliers WIN. $MOB being FCC exempt, Blue UAS, and supplier to domestic OEMs like $TDY means they also win. And great quarter too...business is starting to inflect. https://t.co/Wj5fOsJxvh
It should be no surprise that as the reality of commencing operations gets closer, investors are less doe-eyed about $EVTL https://t.co/4Q8ETMvQLM
@kingtutcap I know $VELO well any others to look at? Maybe something involved in missile production?
Here’s the facts on $SIF: •Sales up 18% on volume + pricing power •Backlog up YoY & sequentially •Adjusted EPS was 51c vs 2c, not a 1c loss vs 54c! •Mgmt EBITDA calc even includes a one-time gain! Wouldn’t be surprised if SIF recoups the entire pullback, pretty swiftly. https://t.co/JTnYurzxzT
$SIF 35% pullback is going to be glorious. 🤣was their best qtr, yet. “This is a lesson on why you need to read press releases and filings, thoroughly, not just relying on headlines or even AI for your investment decisions. The manual process is your edge in smaller cap land.” https://t.co/iXr8inbjpr
I view this primarily as: 1. proof Boeing sees eVTOL as a non-core opportunity 2. acknowledgment by Boeing that the businesses will lose $$ for some time and would be better off of the consolidated financial statements Boeing will take a stake in $ACHR, so it is nott a wholesale abandonment of eVTOL.
$ACHR buying $BA 's Wisk aero. Huge move in the eVTOL space. https://t.co/vHQ9NWLUF1
This is what strong operating leverage does not look like: $RCAT The only thing red about Redcat is always being in the red.. https://t.co/ro1m8Hpgak