Defying the Surveys
PNC CEO Bill Demchak says consumer spending, savings, activity and loan growth contradict record-low University of Michigan consumer…
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Laughing Water Capital on X
$NN https://t.co/rn1GCqqeWI
Under The Hood, Pool Corporation - $POOL
Pool Corporation controls roughly 40% of US pool-product distribution, with maintenance representing 64% of sales as new-pool construction…
Forgive me Father, I have Sabled.
Sable Offshore restarted Santa Ynez oil flows under a Defense Production Act order, targeting 50,000 barrels daily and a path to 60,000…
Fierce_beast on X
$RENT is a timely example of point #3: Stock up 25% in the morning on a strong beat in 4Q, little analyst coverage. The stock now is down 15%, that is a 40% move. I shorted a bit more at some point today when it was still up 10% or so. The fundamentals, the quality of its revenue growth is worsening and outlook is bad. The company needs to spend a significant amount on inventory, a hidden cost not on the income statement but rather depreciates through COGS overtime instead and is not even visible in any given quarter as a large loss. If they don't replenish inventory, customer satisfaction will likely deteriorate. They are planning to spend less on inventory and yet they are still guiding to margin deterioration in 2026.
Mention Market Analysis: Truist Financial
Truist Financial’s April 17 call is forecast to feature “tailwind” in NIM and asset-repricing discussions, with the 51-cent Kalshi contract…
mavix on X
Shelly Group $SLYG announces revenues of EUR 33.4 million (+26%) for Q1 2026. The Company’s liquidity position developed positively in the first quarter of 2026. Cash and cash equivalents increased by approximately 45% compared to year-end 2025 to EUR 19.9 million, https://t.co/rbBjwNHc8T
Laughing Water Capital on X
@endless_frank @AST_SpaceMobile Hi - no position but have been following along. How do you think about the advantages that SpaceX and $AMZN have in terms of name recognition, distribution, and cost of capital? How do you think about pricing in a 3 player market? Is it a race to the bottom out of the gate? TYIA
Laughing Water Capital on X
$AVNS https://t.co/EbJi0nn0Vj
Capitulation in packaged food consumer staples?
Conagra’s CEO change and 9% yield intensified a packaged-food selloff, while General Mills trades near historical valuation lows despite…
First Takes on GFL's Acquisition of Secure
GFL Environmental is buying Secure Waste at 11x 2026E EBITDA before synergies, adding high-margin produced-water and waste assets with $25…
Under The Hood, Novo Nordisk A/S ($NVO)
Novo Nordisk’s GLP-1 franchise transformed obesity treatment, while its valuation framework prices in 17 years of discounted cash flows.
The Consultant’s Dilemma: What AI Actually Does to Accenture ($ACN)
Accenture’s $5.9 billion in FY2025 genAI bookings supports implementation demand, while AI’s automation of junior work threatens the…
mavix on X
Shelly Group $SLYG will be included in the SDAX and thereby become part of Germany’s DAX index family, effective 10 April 2026. "We are proud to have been the first Bulgarian company to be admitted to trading on XETRA and now also the first Bulgarian company to be included in the SDAX.”
mavix on X
Evolution $EVO moves to add Playtech $PTEC as defendent in ongoing US defamation lawsuit. Evolution filed with the court accusing Playtech of orchestrating this smear campaign against Evolution in an effort to eliminate competition in the North American marketplace. Today’s filing also accuses Playtech of trade libel, fraud and racketeering, as well as withholding information about its conduct from shareholders despite Playtech CEO Mor Weizer’s active participation in the preparation and dissemination of the defamatory report.
Under The Hood, ResMed ($RMD)
ResMed’s 30 million connected sleep-apnea patients, recurring masks and software support a data-driven healthcare platform; 11.9% annual…
Performance & Portfolio Update: Q1 2026
Portfolio update reports a 20.5% Q1 loss, led by WeightWatchers’ 61% decline, while adding Bumble, Oscar and Shift4.
Single Stock Spotlight #6: Huntsman (HUN)
Huntsman’s $800-$900 million mid-cycle EBITDA and 8-10x historical EV/EBITDA imply $30-$40 per share, versus roughly $13, after a chemicals…
Charles Frischer on X
@lindenstcapital $NN In the last 12 OIRA actions at the FCC, it looks like approval was received the same day as the blog was posted in 6 cases. Tomorrow is still possible. We will find out by around 2:30 PM on Wednesday. If not, April 28th is only 21 days away.
Charles Frischer on X
@lindenstcapital $NN Shares were lower today on 1.7 million in volume. Investors were concerned that OIRA hasn't approved the NPRM as of today. Also, airline groups filed objection based upon interference. I still think we have a reasonable chance for tomorrow and if not, then April 28th.
Updates: Judges Scientific, Jet2, XPEL (JDG, JET2, XPEL)
Judges Scientific reported 6% organic revenue growth, but US sales fell 22%; NIH funding release and a Geotek coring expedition are its key…
Why Nike ($NKE) Won't Make It Into the Bearhold Universe
Nike is excluded from Bearhold’s universe because cultural relevance and consumer taste drive demand, leaving its revenue model less…
Tim Eriksen on X
ECIP recipient, Citizens Bancshares $CZBS announces $4 million repurchase program. About 5% of market cap. https://t.co/cXfWhyXnSF
Under the Hood, Copart ($CPRT)
Copart’s salvage-auction network pairs scarce storage land with global online bidding, supporting insurer returns and a durable moat…
