Bye the Index
Nasdaq’s QQQ amassed $456 billion through aggressive marketing, turning index licensing into a larger earnings source than trading, data…
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920 articles about companies over $10B
Nasdaq’s QQQ amassed $456 billion through aggressive marketing, turning index licensing into a larger earnings source than trading, data…
Domino’s 99%-franchised model converts global retail sales into royalties and supply-chain revenue, but $4.8 billion of debt and mature…
OTIS · long Otis Worldwide's largest global elevator installed base generates 95% recurring revenue, with service margins above 90% supporting a…
ZTS · long Zoetis, the animal prescription-medicines company, is presented as a long investment despite concerns around its 2026 and 2027 outlook.
PRYMY · short Prysmian (PRYMY) is presented as a short position.
11 reasons for why i'm long $goog: https://t.co/2HTd3mVPKx
Novo Nordisk’s adjusted Q1 sales fell 4% despite 22% obesity-care growth, as lower US prices outweighed volume gains.
Coupang’s data scandal cut active customers to 23.9 million, but 80% of departed WOW members had returned by April as vouchers and…
GPC · long Genuine Parts trades at roughly 9x EBITDA as cyclical weakness and elevated NAPA investment temporarily depress earnings.
@finphysnerd $cme and $otcm are in this category and are reasonable
In Play Today: UMB Financial $UMBF reiterates future M&A requirements; Blue Owl rejects buyout offer | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/qDTqHhJTSr
Sharing some pain. In 2024 I went and visited Nebius $NBIS. My first question: "pls explain me what you do". My last question: "pls summarise again what you do". I ofc never bought. https://t.co/5VeLFwFkEm
Adobe trades at 11x earnings despite $24.5 billion of revenue, 37% operating margins and 12% profit growth; a former data-science head…
Stripe’s startup-focused product sprawl contrasts with Adyen’s enterprise restraint; despite 20% more payment volume and faster growth,…
SYK · long Stryker (SYK) trades near a 52-week low after a late-Q1 cyberattack disrupted revenue and earnings, framing a long-term compounder…
Berkshire Hathaway’s dot-com-era performance frames AI-boom comparisons, Atlassian beats earnings, and Roblox shares fall.
I pasted two screenshots from $PS's 424B4. If you look at fee paying AUM, it's $16 bn excl HHH which has a de minimis mgmt fee/carry. Add in $PSUS and you are at $21 bn of fee paying AUM. $PS discloses pro forma mgmt fees of $238 mm but that is net of $91 mm of non-cash amort related to the IPO. So I'm going to give them credit for $329 mm of mgmt fees. Assuming a 65% operating margin and a 20% tax rate, that gives me effective fee paying earnings of $171 mm. $PSH.LN has a 16% incentive fee and $PS is entitled to the performance fees on the first 5% (the team gets beyond that). On $15 bn, this is $15 bn * 5% * 16% = $120 mm or $96 mm after tax. Add up the mgmt fee and performance fee share, and I get $267 mm of expected earnings or $0.67/share. Implies $PS is trading at around ~50x EPS vs. $KKR at 17x, $ARES at 20x, $BX at 21x. Of course you can layer in some minor $HHH economics and it takes down the multiple a couple of turns. But you could also layer in a few years of sub 5% returns and that takes away the performance fee too. Certainly a 50x EPS valuation is pretty common for a fast growing higher ROIC biz. But it's by no means cheap. The question is, how will Ackman raise any money from here? $PSH.LN is at a discount to NAV, $PSUS is at a discount to NAV and $HHH is at a discount to NAV. One thing that will allow $PS to grow into its valuation is great results as that will 1) scale up the earnings (as it's based on % of AUM) and 2) facilitate new investors. Another way to contextualize the valuation is to simply look at fee paying AUM of $21 bn and compare that to the equity value of $13 bn. That is pretty unprecedented in the land of asset managers but reflects in part the permanent capital and the limited float (I think its just the 20mm shares given in the IPO). Could easily see a lot of price pressure once the 380mm non-IPO related investors are free to sell.
Magnum Ice Cream (MICC), spun off from Unilever, trades at 13x NTM earnings and 8x EBITDA as its 3 million-freezer fleet supports a 2-3…
Meta’s Q1 2026 revenue rose 33% as ad impressions gained 19%, while AI-driven ranking and targeting lifted engagement and conversion;…
if "MNO’s will never give SpaceX and Amazon low band" is true, then invert the logic and consider what SpaceX, $AMZN, and the MNOs would pay to prevent someone else from getting $NN's low band. This how you get the extreme upside case. Multiple parties that NEED to own it. https://t.co/EnjF9Wpc86
QXO · long QXO, led by Brad Jacobs, is consolidating North America’s fragmented building-products distribution industry after rapidly building scale…
PSKY · short Paramount Skydance (PSKY) is a levered media conglomerate expected to merge with Warner Bros. Discovery in the third quarter.
@DSacksCreative $NN The low band spectrum controlled by NN is quite valuable. $GSAT is a terrific comp. Sold for 11.6 billion. In many ways, our spectrum is extremely valuable and can carry more data and is more vital. Very desirable asset.
Meta grew first-quarter revenue 33% as AI lifted engagement and ad conversion, while data-center depreciation cut margins and personalized…