MGRC · long Mcgrath Rentcorp
McGrath RentCorp's conservatively financed hard assets, pricing growth and a struggling competitor, WSC, underpin the long thesis.
Wednesday, June 10
Everything we published on this day.
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MGRC · long McGrath RentCorp's conservatively financed hard assets, pricing growth and a struggling competitor, WSC, underpin the long thesis.
WDAY · long Workday shares have declined since February 2024 as the market has turned against SaaS stocks.
EEFT · long Euronet Worldwide (EEFT) is presented as an asymmetric opportunity, citing its strong balance sheet and shareholder-friendly capital…
SE · long Sea Limited is pitched as a GARP long, backed by AI tailwinds, founder-led execution and emerging-markets exposure despite competitive and…
FRMI · long Fermi Inc. is presented as a time-sensitive long special situation.
I call this the "LLOK" trade (Lower Leg of the K). This is a really interesting non-consensus thematic opportunity, dare I call it contrarian (if you're old enough to remember when that was a preferred approach to alpha generation). Investors have been quick to dismiss anything resembling a LLOK trade, but look what's happened in the past few weeks: $DLTR, $CASY, $CBRL, $PENN, $PRKS all massively outperforming in the past month. I'll include my beloved $CAKE in this group. Yes, some of that is factor rotation, but employment tailwinds for this consumer set might be better as a result of data center CAPEX/reindustrialization, and the "sell these names on gas prices" trade couldn't be hackneyed analysis. Finally, follow @TiberiusCapital, he's one of the best investors I know.
$QXO gang anyone have a current cap table, wanted to run some numbers but its hard to keep up with all the issuance/debt offerings.... Pro forma suggests there is around 1.1B shares outstanding? (will that include all the financing to get Topbuild closed (I believe so)? + around $8B in net debt (pro forma) So at $14 a share - that would be roughly $23B EV value? Anyone confirm this or tell me which pieces are wrong (for Kodiak, beacon and Topbuild) Roughly $2B EBITDA off their press release (probably up for debate, rates/economy, then need to look how much synergies might be backed into that) So 4x leveraged (means likely more shares need to get issued to de-risk especially with interest rate risks and transmission to demand) so 11.5x with mote dilution (likely).....getting close but not there yet - still think you need to wait for 10x or < Last and most important question does the math around Beacon change - 15x is meaty for a distributor multiple so unlikely they walk. But with the 45/55 split (is there floor conditions or will TopBuild eat that difference if/when they vote later this month (if not anyone know what the break fee is). Thanks in advance
$LLY has nlrp3 trials so that would just put them in the same conversation no with a head start? Agree its valuable to NVO but wouldn't the derivatives like a $BIOA get more juice of ZEUS then $NVO from validating the space. I like NVO but management shoots themselves in the foot constantly and AZN etc competition on weight loss is coming
Really interesting how $GO had truly massive insider buying and the stock barely reacted, allowing the investor to accumulate a sizable position. This one has worked quite nicely. https://t.co/iXfU4SCmt5
BancFirst $BANF Corporation Announces Acquisition of SpiritBank https://t.co/8jm5DCej1L
PUDO’s revenue rose 35% to $5.6 million, but losses quadrupled as administrative costs outpaced growth; $242,000 of cash and ongoing burn…