Broken Moats on X
Oil up 7.5% and $EXPE continues its squeeze because it's simply the opposite end of the ai trade? How long can these on/off trades define every stock in the market? Crazy
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Oil up 7.5% and $EXPE continues its squeeze because it's simply the opposite end of the ai trade? How long can these on/off trades define every stock in the market? Crazy
The complacency is the point. Gas-directed rigs are still only in the low-to-mid 120s and the trend remains essentially flat. Turbine lead times run 3–5 years and the major OEMs are already sold out into 2029–31. Data-center announcements are loud today, but the actual incremental gas draw from behind-the-meter and new generation does not hit the system until the turbines arrive and the sites come online. That lag is why the market can keep treating gas as abundant through 2026–27 even as the structural deficit builds. When the convexity shows up, it will likely arrive later and harder than most are pricing. $EQT, $AR, $CRK
GZPZY · long Gaztransport and Technigaz, a €7 billion French company, leads ultra-low-temperature containment systems for storage and transport.
BNO · long United States Brent Oil Fund LP (BNO) is a bullish trade via shares, call options or a July $60–$70 call spread.
The basin isn’t that deep. Bullish $EQT. Low investment + LNG + datacenter demand = convexity https://t.co/USzDD8u9uB
Diversified Energy (DEC) has paid $21.84 per share in dividends since June 2017 and trades at $13.35 amid a bullish U.S.
Energy & Environmental Services, EESE, pairs a shareholder-led board overhaul and subsidiary divestiture with rising drilling activity,…
@GardinerIsland $BSM has kinda muffled volatility relatively speaking if you don't mind a K-1, have a pretty good plan to grow production on their land next ~5 yrs (they own royalty interests), systematically hedge ~75% of production.
Project Kilby, a planned Texas behind-the-meter data center twice Project Stargate’s size, would reshape Permian gas flows and boost demand…
Tidewater’s $22,600 average day rate and $598 million FY2025 EBITDA rest on an aging OSV fleet, scant newbuilds and fleet acquisitions…
Good day for "LLOK" trades with crude collapsing, interest rates falling, and WSB retail investors bidding up $WEN and $JACK. https://t.co/NHRQkih4Y0
Koil Energy’s record 30.4-ton stainless-steel tubing shipment points to more than $10 million of raw materials for multinational umbilical…
AZRH fell from $2.40 to about six cents after scrutiny of its $14.3 million inventory valuation and CEO Josh Cohen’s felony arrest.
Transocean's acquisition of Valaris faces a DOJ second request, putting the offshore-drilling merger's antitrust approval and closing…
Occidental Petroleum’s Q1 2026 execution and operating outperformance were offset by a costly management derivative misstep.
If you're in the 'SoH closed / oil higher for longer' camp, just know that it will be a PERFECT environment for the spec chems disributors. And they are just starting to rebound from pretty low levels. $BNR $IMCD $AZE
Texas Pacific Land shareholders urge two board additions, data-center expertise, and capital spending beyond mineral royalties toward…
Open Square Capital’s Q1 2026 letter discusses the oil market, Iran, Occidental Petroleum and Peloton.
Sable Offshore restarted Santa Ynez oil flows under a Defense Production Act order, targeting 50,000 barrels daily and a path to 60,000…
LandBridge outlined $300 million in pore-space free cash flow within five years; its Permian data-center project remains proof of concept.
Occidental Petroleum is positioned for oil above $80, with a prolonged Iran conflict and Gulf supply shut-ins pushing prices into triple…
New Fortress Energy’s restructuring cancels its 12% 2029 notes for 94.3% of BrazilCo, $974 million of New NFE preferred and 25.8% of New…
@CorneliaLake 100% probability Geck rules against $SOC. It's going to be funny to watch
Vaca Muerta’s $36–45-per-barrel breakevens, Milei reforms and $17 billion infrastructure buildout underpin the bullish case for Vista…