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Consumer Staples

Everything our editor has picked under this sector, best first.

243 stories

@ActAccordingly

PAA Research on X

Yeah, $CPB bulls trying to hold the line on the 2002 and 1995 lows. They have some solid brands for sure, but the management is moronic, the board even worse, they have no clue on capital management, and the balance sheet is a disaster. Everything but the last point is an argument for this business to be sold. However, that leverage.... I guess someone can come in and eliminate the dividend which frees up $450MM in FCF. From there you can probably delever this biz 2-3 turns in a few years. Tough sledding, but there's a lot of wasted advertising across this company, that's for sure.

The Black Patch Tobacco Wars

The Black Patch Tobacco Wars show how American Tobacco’s buying power drove Kentucky and Tennessee farmers to organize against below-cost…

BTI $130B
Invariant
@BrokenMoats

Broken Moats on X

$WDFC results are staggering when you read through them....then you get to the guidance and it does not reflect the monstrous quarter they just posted (relatively the same as the guide from Q1)....something is off with this company, they are either one of the worst non micro cap companies at forecasting their business (not a great endorsement of management and their processes). AND/OR they are playing games with inventory to influence the stock. I will reserve my own comments for private, but if you look back in recent years there are some odd swings in Asian /Chinese inventories in given quarters. Fascinated how a product that has been around forever with wide distribution posts a +30% print in Americas, 24% company wide. And the guide moves from 5-9% to 6-9% growth for the year?? What is going on?

Adding a beer stock in size

Molson Coors, a 7% portfolio position, is the world’s fourth-largest brewer with leading beer shares in Canada and the US through Coors and…

TAP $6.8B
Nugget Capital Partner's Substack

Maker of Men

James B. Duke built American Tobacco into a monopoly, then extended his legacy through Duke Power and the Duke Endowment.

BTI $130B
Invariant
@BrokenMoats

Broken Moats on X

??? Two things can be true at the same time. In that you can have a slow down from weak international travel (administration) domestically, weak lower end consumer, glp, and inflation that is dragging down sales. And yet you can continue to invest in new store counts if the economics of your model are intact AND you have the balance sheet to continue to invest in your business. The competitors you cited besides macro have other issues impacting their ability to invest; PTLO has a serious balance sheet issue SG has an economic model problem... *turns out 18$ salads is a tough business*. Mcdonalds increased store openings in 2008 AND 2009 even as SSS growth was slowing every year 06-09....those investments worked out just fine because the model works. $SHAK SSS still going to print solidly positive for the year while most chains won't this year (and thats without the added store count). Shak has issues, all restaurants are tough and tough to scale and Rob and the cfo are far from Mcdonalds level of execution, but at 1x sales and a +20% restaurant margin model with 4m AUV theres a lot more room to the upside then the downside at current levels. I don't think they get to the dream target of 1500 stores, but that would be a 10x from here, whats the downside, at almost 1x current....30% maybe? I'll take that asymmetric set up. (Entered shares today)