BDC on X
A few mins to go, but this has been by far Andy Jassy's best call ever as CEO. Well done sir. $AMZN
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BDC
Everything we have picked from this writer, newest first.
BDC on X
$AMZN op margin of 13.7% is its highest quarterly margin ever by a pretty wide margin. ROIC showing itself.
BDC on X
In July the bubble moved over into $AAPL where it was hanging out during the semis blood bath. $AAPL with a so/so print is constructive since that there the bubble has been parked.
BDC on X
$AMZN incremental AWS margins are 57% and operating cash flow grew +40% against a much harder comp. These types of numbers show that ROIC is there on the capex.
BDC on X
I know I was poking some fun at $META last night but I think its a buy here in all seriousness. Not advice. But lots of ways to win in the end. Not advice, do own DD etc. I could be wrong.
BDC on X
Microsoft’s results showed accelerating Azure growth, compute demand gains and operating cash flow growth above 30%, supporting the AI infrastructure trade despite lower reported capex from accounting changes.
BDC on X
$MSFT is showing us how to have your AI cake and eat it too. Zuck should take notes
BDC on X
...."but we might not take the offer bc we have all these reasons to use the compute internally even though we missed ad revs" (basically) $meta https://t.co/ozJ63qcFIL
BDC on X
Majority of EPS growth is in tech. Rest of the market EPS growth is tepid. $QQQ imploding, $RSP ripped. Sustainable?
BDC on X
TOI says Medicare Advantage rate pressure is a growth tailwind, pushing health plans to seek its care-access and utilization-management services.
BDC on X
Meta’s committed AI capex risks exceeding financeable demand as capital costs rise, forcing a pivot from excess capacity.
BDC on X
Internet analysts once focused on Google Search, Meta advertising, Netflix subscribers and AWS growth. AI-era capex has made those earnings calls more complex.
BDC on X
@FrostByte123456 Yes. $GOOGL needs to feed TWO capex intensive businesses: 1. Search (Gemeni) and 2. Cloud. $AMZN needs to only feed one, which is AWS.
BDC on X
$SNAP will generate more FCF this year than $GOOGL and maybe more than the hyperscalers combined in the 2H ex MSFT! Just sayin...
BDC on X
Good point here re how OBBB flatters cash flow. $GOOGL https://t.co/MkSPZ5NNOZ
BDC on X
$STIM https://t.co/VyAQNzsKuH
BDC on X
@kermankohli GCP is baked into $GOOGL's price already. $META's cloud optionality is obviously not. You may prefer the known thing but its the unknown things that over much more asymmetry.
BDC on X
$mRna shots don't work either but it has a $25B market cap. https://t.co/vvreFW1UpQ
BDC on X
Alphabet faces a two-front AI capex burden, funding internal search competition and external cloud capacity without Meta’s excess-compute pivot.
BDC on X
@benbstwits Warren Buffett is 96 years old. He had every opportunity to buy $GOOGL over the last 20 years and didn't. The fact that he is showing up now is not the flex you think.
BDC on X
So is $GOOGL going to tap their ATM now? Or wait for it to go lower?
BDC on X
Alphabet beat its stated KPIs, but a 6% stock decline signals investor resistance to hyperscaler AI capex without quantified cash returns.
BDC on X
@LogicalThesis Market might sell $AMZN some here. But the distinction that should be made is that a massive amount of $GOOGL's capex is funding internal compute needs. The majority of AMZN's capex is for external.
BDC on X
Ok so $GOOGL says: -capex materially higher -Q3 cloud margins lower due to 3P capacity used at higher cost -search revs to slow on tougher comp -ambiguous word salad wrt to capex ROIC -ATM not used yet (maybe that's a mistake?) -No buyback in the Q
