Fierce_beast on X
$SSTK -- this stock was often trading below 8x p/e throughout the last 3 years and even lower on a net cash basis. At the start of this year it was trading around 4.5x p/e. It's down 70% YTD https://t.co/aRCDW2mTMu
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marginofdanger on X
$FPH mentions on call they are currently talking to anchor tenants for the 2.8mm sf of R&D/tech-dedicated entitlements for Candlestick. Not many options for contiguous brand new space in SF. Would be interesting if they secured a whale like Anthropic, OpenAI or Databricks.
marginofdanger on X
@blondesnmoney $OPBK solid
JabroniCoin.USD on X
As usual with Hemingway, the last three sentences here are key $ACMR https://t.co/GhNV2Ci8IM
BDC on X
@kermankohli GCP is baked into $GOOGL's price already. $META's cloud optionality is obviously not. You may prefer the known thing but its the unknown things that over much more asymmetry.
PAA Research on X
I guess it's time to sharpen my pencil a bit on $TSCO. The stock has been a disaster to say the least and the chart could not look worse. However, the company lowered guidance and it's trading up modestly in a pretty tough tape. This was once a great growth story/compounder. Is it finally washed out? Watching.
Ian Bezek on X
@InvestsCletus That's probably part of it. Day like today $CIB up $AVAL down would play toward that idea.
BDC on X
$mRna shots don't work either but it has a $25B market cap. https://t.co/vvreFW1UpQ
BDC on X
This is obviously unsustainable. The larger the gap, the worse the crash. Semis are printing cash now - but for a buyer and seller relationship to be healthy over a long time, everyone, both sides, needs to make $. I think $AMZN can make $ because their flagship business sells compute capacity and their capex ramp has funded more capacity to sell. $META can work because their flagship biz benefits from internal AI and they may in fact have excess compute capacity to sell - which is a positive pivot. $GOOGL is less clear to me. Their flagship biz is soaking up internal compute because new entrants in search, gPT for one, have $750B in capex earmarked - not to sell compute but to improve their own frontier capabilities. At the same time, $GOOGL's external compute biz is going to do great - but in this theater they are also competing with AMZN/MSFT etc. So for $GOOGL there's no pivot opportunity akin to $META and there's 2x the capex need as the arms race accelerates for both internal and external needs.
Broken Moats on X
$DHR move this week is odd. I know its trading off $TMO today but the bioprocessing is the bigger piece to DHR and those sales/guide were disappointing and you saw weak action from https://t.co/sj9MDhumCh today off their numbers and even $RGEN trading off. $165 - $190 in two days this week seems off. Maybe the initial flush was over done, but hard to argue this business deserves to trade back at 200 where it came into earnings after seeing the bioprocessing commentary. Seems like a fade at 190
BDC on X
@benbstwits Warren Buffett is 96 years old. He had every opportunity to buy $GOOGL over the last 20 years and didn't. The fact that he is showing up now is not the flex you think.
Alphabet 2Q'26: Google Cloud is On Cloud Nine
Alphabet’s 2Q’26 revenue rose 24% to $119.8 billion as Google Cloud grew 82% and tripled operating income, while heavy investment drove…
Ian Bezek on X
@valuedrift American $AAL whiffed earnings too.
BDC on X
So is $GOOGL going to tap their ATM now? Or wait for it to go lower?
PAA Research on X
To me, $GOOG faces a "red queen scenario" or a "pyrrhic victory". For the moment, it appears I'm not the only one that shares that sentiment. 13% paid click growth was solid in 2Q26, but CPC slowed to 3% YOY. Not a huge deal, but warrants close attention. I still think we see massive deceleration on paid clicks. Then what?
BDC on X
Ok so $GOOGL beat on every KPI that they told you mattered for the print. And yet the stock is off 6% and nuking the market with it. This is bad for the AI cycle for two reasons: 1. Credit markets were already revolting vs hyperscalers capex spend. 2. Now if equity markets revolt too - where does the funding come from? Either CEO's like Sundar who get paid 10s of millions / year need to make an actual attempt to quantify expected CASH ROIC to the market OR markets might just say they've had enough...we see the $ out the door and have no line of sight as to when it comes back in. We selling. @ajassy take note.
Under the Hood - Tractor Supply ($TSCO)
Tractor Supply’s 2,602-store rural retail network supported 30+ years of growth.
Timyan Bank Alert on X
$FCNCA $SBNC HT @bankinvesting https://t.co/3nOgjdlsG8
Gatekeeper Systems ($GSI.V) FINS Review
Gatekeeper Systems’ revenue rebound is overshadowed by $19.3 million in nine-month operating cash burn, swelling inventory and overdue…
Ian Bezek on X
@SowingAlphaSeed @orrdavid Number 3 is an excellent point. I own a bunch of zero duration bonds, rather than TIPS. Aiming for maximum price appreciation during the next recession/return to ZIRP. $EDV (or $TLT) was much more monetizable than long-term TIPS in March 2020 when you needed liquidity most. https://t.co/RHEWLObo4J
Netflix: What's Coming Next
Netflix’s $16.2 billion operating income follows its DVD-to-streaming and global pivots, but short-form video, YouTube and FAST services…
Timyan Bank Alert on X
$NRIM- Northrim BanCorp, Inc. Signs Definitive Agreement to Acquire $PBCO Financial Corporation https://t.co/XtscRHtpqE
BDC on X
@LogicalThesis Market might sell $AMZN some here. But the distinction that should be made is that a massive amount of $GOOGL's capex is funding internal compute needs. The majority of AMZN's capex is for external.
Broken Moats on X
$ROL ugly quarter, hate when the call is the following day (same with $MEDP) but as much as Ive beat it up on valuation over the past few years it finally starts to enter the interesting zone under $35. demographic trends to TX and the SE favor increased pest control over time, recurring service, start pushing 15-18x in the low 30s Research considerations - would be curious to see how increased PE movement into the space in different markets continues to impact density and lead generation and pricing as well as m&a opportunities before pulling the trigger here. Not a luxury but an essential service in my neck of the woods.
