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@BrokenMoats

Broken Moats on X

$DVA not sure exactly whats behind the over 100% gain in shares this year, But at current levels near $230 a share the stock is almost 27x next years numbers (including net debt/per share basis). CMS initial rate for next year came in well below expectations at 1.1% (and while it can be moved higher that I still a considerable headwind). DVA still sits as one of the most negatively exposed to GLP1s and that should be a structural headwind that eats at volumes incrementally each year into the future Valuation and performance spread against their other public peer $FMS opened up significantly again (diverged at key points in recent years) -- FMS traded off 6% (after being weak for months) on the CMS announcement last week. DVA maybe because of the Buffett influence on float (high 40s% ownership) has traded very odd in recent years, but tends to ignore all news then violently reprice on earnings.

Tidewater (TDW): a first-pass look

Tidewater’s $22,600 average day rate and $598 million FY2025 EBITDA rest on an aging OSV fleet, scant newbuilds and fleet acquisitions…

SAP: DCF Valuation

SAP’s DCF valuation sets a $260 base-case target versus a $155.09 ADR price, based on cloud migration, AI efficiencies and expanding EBIT…