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Thursday, November 5, 2026

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@BrokenMoats

Broken Moats on X

$MFC the spotlight has shifted off private credit but the issues have not gone away. MFC is in my opinion one of the more overlooked violators stuffing their life insurance investments with outsized exposure to private credit and cre. Just look under the hood of their earnings tonight. "๐–๐ก๐ž๐ง ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐Œ๐š๐ง๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ž ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐š๐ฅ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ง๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐š๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ญ ๐ซ๐ž๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ง ๐š๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ? Alternative long-duration assets missed expected returns by $153 million post-tax, marking six straight negative quarters and $1.35 billion of cumulative shortfalls by our math. Keeping unchanged return assumptions turns recurring investment shortfalls into excluded below-the-line charges every quarter."