kab60 on X
@Adam17609412325 Also, given $AN skews more towards domestic (trucks!) with worse MPG than say $GPI and $ABG - which skew more towards imports+premium/premium luxury - I'd think higher fuel prices is a bigger headwind to Autonation
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@Adam17609412325 Also, given $AN skews more towards domestic (trucks!) with worse MPG than say $GPI and $ABG - which skew more towards imports+premium/premium luxury - I'd think higher fuel prices is a bigger headwind to Autonation
$CCOI DAVE HAS SOMETHING TO SELL https://t.co/Spe7p6acF3
$AN CFO and head of IR really spooked the mkt yesterday... What a shitty appearance🤓
Special-situations survey flags Cooper’s $3 billion buyback, Grab’s $900 million repurchase, and Beretta’s $44.80 partial tender for Sturm…
@nicholaus20006 these resturant ipo's often feels like the last hurrah, especially if it's a mature-ish brand. the rare $CMG or $WING that has lots of room to grow is another thing, i don't think this concept applies to $jmke though.
Comedian talking sense about $JMKE. Just like how Wendy's went to shredded lettuce instead of Iceburg, $JMKE sandwich quality started deteriorating 2 years ago according to this guy. Not counting them out, but not looking great. I made this mistake of buying $JOAN after it IPO'd. Amazing growth, amazing margins, 12x P/E! Of course it was being undermaintained and quality quickly deteriorated post-covid. Beware of private equity and short-term oriented management teams.
In the $INMD example i posted recently, it has a P/E of 8x or so, and sure it's earnings seem to be collapsing, but what if it stabalizes and then recovers after a few years? In this shape, 8x is not quite the bargain you thought it was. https://t.co/FaIWBcgOsR
Will the shape of memory look not like the deep cyclical's of the past but more so something like this? Maybe $MU should be 13x NTM EPS, not 6x which it is currently. https://t.co/26sSfYz3yb
Wonder what the market might be thinking by giving $MU a forward P/E of 5x during the Situational Awareness liquidation? One possible shape that justifies a 5x p/e: https://t.co/24OatE4VXj
$INMD has 8.5/sh of cash, a 14.5/sh stock price, and around my estimate of .7/sh of eps after accounting for capital requirements and excluding interest income. If this is right, that means it's trading around 8x p/e (6/.7) for just the operating business. Even if you thought it should only be 4x p/e (3/.7), that's 3$ of downside (20%) on a 14.5/sh stock. Vice versa, if you thought it should be 12x p/e (8.4/.7), that's 2.4$ of upside (16%) on a 14.5/sh stock. Suppose a rational stock market investor requires a 9% return, and if he valued a stock at 8x p/e, that multiple would be consistent with a perpetual earnings decline around 3% annually. For a 4x p/e that rate would be closer to 13%. Should we value INMD's future cash stream at an 8x NTM P/E, above, or below? INMD's earnings seems to be declining much faster than 3% annually, even faster than 11% annually. There seems to be a lot of competition, a lot of issues with their strategy, constnat negative revisions, constant missed promises and dissapointments. Wonder what's going on underneath