“Clarity and the rally are the same event” (NOTW#105)
Moderna and Merck reported positive Phase III INTerpath-001 results for a personalized cancer vaccine, turning clinical clarity into a…
Saturday, August 22
Saturday, August 22, 2026
Everything we published on this day.
29 stories — the front page that day →
Churchill Downs: Doubling Down
Churchill Downs is selling regional casinos to focus on horse racing and historical racing machines, where Exacta software and racetrack…
WD #355: AUNA/CAAP Earnings, Brazil, USMCA Trade Situation
CAAP reported decent second-quarter earnings and its first dividend, while Brazil rose on an election poll and USMCA trade developments…
Guest Post: Eton Pharmaceuticals (ETON)
Eton Pharmaceuticals licensed rare-disease medicines, raised revenue guidance twice and climbed more than fourfold from its February 2026…
Deep Sail Capital on X
@PythiaR @BillBrewsterTBB You know it’s Joe Burnett! $MAMA ceo Adam Michaels is impressive
Maj Soueidan on X
@scottfelsenthal It used to be on my do not buy list. However, it’s back on my watchlist. For the record, $SIF was also on my do not buy list for years. 🤐… until recently.. Regarding $OML.V, I think they’ve been setting that gross margin expansion target for a while. So, we’ll have to see.
Maj Soueidan on X
👀 Potential $SIF InfoArb worth digging into… $RTX (Raytheon) just received a massive $22.9B, 7-year Tomahawk contract, with production targeted to ramp to 1,000+ missiles/year. What’s interesting is that Raytheon says the production ramp will “require investment across its supply chain and working with hundreds of small and midsized suppliers.” $SIF explicitly says its military-aerospace forgings are used in “Missile & Ordnance” applications. They also list Raytheon among its customers Given that Raytheon is now “looking across its supplier base to support an enormous munitions ramp,” does SIF maybe have a fighting chance here? There are probably more direct beneficiaries than SIF. But for its size, even a relatively small piece of the work could move the needle… it’s a rabbit hole worth digging into. 🔎… Time for @realLigerCub to step in :) Important caveat: I have found no evidence that SIF supplies Tomahawk, or even that its existing Raytheon relationship is tied specifically to Raytheon’s missile business.
Maj Soueidan on X
@UnderlyingValue Yeah, they've mostly come through with what they said they would do over the years. They're also non-promotional. The operating leverage in the model is substantial. A comp just went bankrupt. Some good stuff here. Thanks to @OlivierColombo for pitching $LEAT to me in 2019.
Maj Soueidan on X
Lots of information arbitrage homework to do this weekend… $LEAT is probably my favorite set up right now from the latest batch of Delta Sheets.. Also closely watching $PRPO sales/scale expansion strategy. https://t.co/jsup7PKOb7
TFX 2026-08-22 Teleflex: Portfolio Surgery Creates A Better Medtech Compounder
Teleflex is divesting lower-growth units, using proceeds for debt reduction and buybacks while focusing on faster-growing Vascular and…
Equity Eagle 2 clicks NIU 2026-08-22 Niu Technologies: A Disappointing Report Comes With A Silver Lining
Niu Technologies’ Q2 FY2026 earnings worsened despite putting the electric scooter maker on track for record annual results; revenue growth…
MarketGyrations 2 clicks TFPM 2026-08-22 Triple Flag Precious Metals: Ravenswood Turns Optionality Into Duration
Triple Flag Precious Metals' Ravenswood acquisition adds long-term, low-cost gold stream revenue, diversifies cash flows and extends growth…
Capital Connoisseur 2 clicksRaging Capital Ventures on X
@Ross__Hendricks @DratchCap @WarrenPies Equity is abundant even while absolute debt issuance skyrockets. I would think prudent capital allocators would tap the former… (see $GOOG, $ORCL as of late)
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Jensen is clearly very smart, and I think he was wise to seed the neocloud industry ($NVDA customers) to help offset the dominance of the hyperscalers (ASIC customers). But that doesn’t change the competitive reality that he has to use $NVDA’s balance sheet to buy business… (and his customers are doing the same with their balance sheets)
UUUU 2026-08-22 Energy Fuels: The Largest Combined Uranium And Rare Earth Company In North America
Energy Fuels produces uranium and separated rare earth elements at its White Mesa Mill, with NdPr output since April 2024 and a domestic…
Joseph L. Shaefer 2 clicksIan Bezek on X
@davey_juice @taobanker I own both. $NU seems inevitable. $INTR more execution and single-market risk but a lot more upside if it works and gets rerated.
LLY 2026-08-22 Eli Lilly: Shaking Off Competition From The Dethroned Novo Nordisk
Eli Lilly holds 60–61% of the US obesity-drug market as prescriptions and international expansion offset pricing pressure from Novo Nordisk.
The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket
Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…
NVDA 2026-08-22 Nvidia: It's All About SpaceX Now
Nvidia’s exclusive SpaceX partnership targets a 10 GW data-center buildout and could add $120 billion to $230 billion of revenue beyond…
Uttam Dey 2 clicksIan Bezek on X
@taobanker $INTR at 1.2x book 5.5x '27 earnings with a 16% ROE growing at 20% a year probably qualifies. But yes, $BLX is incredible and I still kick myself for selling most of my position at $25 after buying at $15. Grabbed defeat from the jaws of victory there.
TGTX 2026-08-22 TG Therapeutics: Briumvi's Growth Attracts Buyout Rumors
TG Therapeutics' Briumvi growth and subcutaneous formulation progress have fueled takeover rumors, with Biogen, Incyte and Sanofi cited as…
ONeil Trader 1 click DKS 2026-08-22 DICK'S Sporting Goods Stock Is Hanging On By A Thread But Looks Like A Buy Ahead Of Q2 Earnings
DICK’S Sporting Goods trades at 12.8 times FY26 EPS after breaking multi-year support, while maintaining $13.50 to $14.50 FY guidance amid…
Mike Arnold 3 clicks OPLN 2026-08-22 Private Equity Exit Offers Opportunity At Openlane
OPENLANE trades near $34 after Apax Partners’ exit, with a $25 million buyback and FY2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $385–$400…
Mike Arnold 1 click AMAT 2026-08-22 Applied Materials: I Am Reiterating My Strong Buy As AI Manufacturing Demand Accelerates
Applied Materials targets AI-driven foundry, DRAM and advanced-packaging demand, expected to drive 80% of wafer-fab equipment growth…
The Curious Analyst 3 clicks NEXT 2026-08-22 NextDecade: The Ownership Staircase Is The Real Bull Case
NextDecade’s Rio Grande LNG ownership rises from 20.8% in Phase 1 to 60% in Train 4 and 70% in Train 5, increasing cash flow exposure as…
Capital Connoisseur STX 2026-08-22 Seagate: Shares May Fall Aggressively If Gross Margins Won't Last
Seagate’s FY2026 margin expansion reflects favorable HDD pricing, mix and industry supply discipline, raising the risk that cyclical…
Cavenagh Research 1 click CNC 2026-08-22 Centene Corporation: The Margin Recovery Is Real, And The Market Is Still Catching Up
Centene’s Medicaid margins are recovering ahead of schedule, Medicare is nearing profitability, and Marketplace risk adjustment is…
Chris Bazzle O 2026-08-22 Realty Income: European Growth Engine Backs This Monthly Dividend Payer
Realty Income raised AFFO guidance to $4.44 to $4.45 and targets $10 billion of 2026 investments, with European expansion supporting its…
IWA Research GD 2026-08-22 General Dynamics: Why Q2 Results And Market-Cap Weighted Multiples Trigger An Upgrade (Rating Upgrade)
General Dynamics’ Q2 beat, 1.5 book-to-bill ratio and $136.5 billion backlog support an upgrade, with Aerospace margin gains and Marine…
Burak Kaan Yilmaz 