Monday, July 20

Monday, July 20, 2026

Everything we published on this day.

14 stories

@convequity 1 click

Convequity on X

Crypto Basket Update: COIN, CRCL & HOOD Within our “buy the dip” crypto basket we are de-prioritizing Coinbase relative to Circle. $COIN lagged amid prolonged CLARITY Act uncertainty and faces revenue risk from the ongoing USDC custody renegotiation with $CRCL. Broader Bitcoin structural concerns (miners shifting to AI) also temper the trading-volume outlook. Circle stands out as the preferred stablecoin exposure. Stablecoins are the natural token/payment rail for AI agents — a structural driver distinct from trading hype — with added tailwinds from interest rate sensitivity and attractive asymmetry after the pullback. $HOOD is held at lower conviction as one of several interchangeable infrastructure bets. We are maintaining current weights across the basket but leaning toward adding to Circle as the highest-conviction name.
@convequity 2 clicks

Convequity on X

Palantir remains our marquee software conviction. Growth is accelerating as ontology and governance become essential for secure AI deployment in government and enterprise. The bear case is model dependency, but this is where $PLTR shines. Enterprises risk losing their information and knowhow edge by feeding proprietary data to foundation model providers — their own suppliers. Satya Nadella’s “Reverse Information Paradox” captures it perfectly. Microsoft did it with Lotus/WordPerfect (Excel/Word), and Anthropic is already demonstrating such practices with Claude Design competing with Figma — and countless other examples too. Palantir’s strong data control and governance moat positions it to avoid the trap. Developing its own foundation model could be a game-changer, offering true IP protection.

On Holdings: Maintaining Pace

On Holdings expects roughly CHF 3.5 billion in FY26 revenue as running shoes drive growth, while APAC exceeds 20% of sales and apparel…

Thoughts on Markets, July 2026

Meta’s planned cloud business and Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 revived doubts over AI compute scarcity, driving chip stocks lower and exposing S&P…