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Nothing decays faster than borrowed conviction…… $CEPL melt up then sell off https://t.co/yD9uwh2wdD
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Nothing decays faster than borrowed conviction…… $CEPL melt up then sell off https://t.co/yD9uwh2wdD
We track insider buying in spinoff or their parents in a custom screen on InsideArbitrage that we like to call the Spinsider. There were three companies (spinoffs or parents of spinoffs) that saw insider buying based on Form 4s filed recently. 1. The home safety and security solutions provider Resideo $RESI completed the spinoff of ADI Global Distribution $ADGI just two weeks ago. This week we saw three different insiders of $RESI buy stock on the open market including the CEO and the General Counsel. $RESI was spun out of Honeywell $HON in 2018, making $ADGI Honeywell's grandchild. 2. Enviri $NVRI was less of a spinoff and more of a breakup. It sold its Clean Earth division to to Veolia Environnement S.A. and paid out $15 per share to shareholders from the proceeds of the sale. It then spun out its Harsco Environmental and Rail divisions and renamed them as Enviri just to confuse us a little. This new Enviri saw insider buying by two insiders including the CEO this week. @valuedontlie especially likes these "stubs" as he likes to call them and has done well with stubs like Starz Entertainment $STRZ Much to my detriment, I kept Lions Gate Studios $LION after the spinoff and sold Starz. 3. The building materials company Amrize $AMRZ, which was spun out of Holcim AG in June 2025 continues to see significant insider buying activity. This month six different insiders including the CFO and the Chief Strategy & M&A Officer purchased shares.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources has $263 million of usable liquidity and targets zero cash burn by 2027 through mine cuts, Wildcat ramp-up,…
$EUR.ax $CRML merger recut in whoop. Still looks attractive here at a 17% spread with a clearly very motivated buyer and a reasonably short timeline. Easily hedgable with 10% borrow.
ContextLogic’s US Salt holds about 23% of the US and Canadian pharmaceutical-grade salt market, one of only two suppliers, supporting…
Ace River Capital @AceRiverCapital has high conviction in Vox Royalty $VOXR, a precious-metals royalty company with over 70 companies in its portfolio. VOXR is now the largest holding in both his personal portfolio and the fund's. VOXR is an old KEDM Lite flag. https://t.co/Nhi14DHSI7
Colombia’s earthquake frames risks for Tecnoglass as Grupo Aval, Bancolombia and Nu report strong earnings, including Nu’s 67% EPS growth.
Trinseo PLC’s Chapter 11 trial centers on a potential settlement as Judge Lopez urges peace among the debtors and creditors.
$CENX is a non-AI bottleneck https://t.co/L0PvNNH4HK
$CAPS "Stone Business Adjusted EBITDA" 🤡 https://t.co/56EcAIgFSv
UBS initiates $CENX conservatively: $60 at 4x EV/EBITDA > Oklahoma & shareholder return catalysts > best leverage to US MWP > Oklahoma and datacenter not priced in > 4x below normalized mid cycle https://t.co/MiKQD9rlFV
Timna on $CENX “early innings of broader FCF rebound.” “Hugely undervalued” at 1.5x their ‘27 EBITDA. $83 PT at 4x! Direction of numbers up, delta to street up, and lots of multiple rerate room imho https://t.co/8wkrmh5S83
“for the first time in over a decade, all Century assets should be operating at full capacity. I'm very proud to report today that our team has delivered” As expected, Q3 & Q4 will be when the real earnings power of $CENX is demonstrated. Still under-earning. Still bottleneck. https://t.co/Buw6H87Sed https://t.co/KyfyjMcJhq
@Tintincapital @29374736ahshsv @flippyfloppy52 @smurfkonto1 Ha, no worries. There were some real concerns around resource nationalism in Chile recently, especially with $SQM so that's understandable.
SLGN · long Silgan’s long thesis rests on roughly 10% historical EPS growth and a potential rerating as its end-market exposure evolves.
PPTA · long Perpetua Resources (PPTA) is a development-stage gold mining project.
Cematrix posted record Q2 revenue of $18.7 million, up 76%, and $3.5 million of net income, while backlog fell 9% from year-end.
CBT · short Cabot’s short case targets a market pricing FY26 EPS of $6.00–$6.50 as trough earnings and assigning value to its battery-materials…
Hermès faces leather-volume and margin risk, EXLService beats and raises despite AI concerns, and Sika gains share while trading at 22…
Despite my past skepticism, $GLW around its current $125 per share ($110 b cap) actually seems fairly compelling given the company’s scale, leading market position, and multi-year growth ramp.
Timna Tanners: We see limited impact from the aluminum tariff tweak $CENX https://t.co/B4tCNvsy5Z
Constellium supplies aluminum-lithium alloy 2195 for Falcon 9 tanks and aerospace programs, with qualification barriers supporting…
Despite the ramblings of others, 66x ebitda for magnets is not a bad reference point. $codi https://t.co/VnzveAUqGb
Fiserv fell nearly 10% after CEO Mike Lyons left for Truist, while Olin's stock-funded 0.5476-share offer values Huntsman below its prior…