Porter Collins on X
@MidwestHedgie @lurker8679 @PhilMickelson $PCT is certainly still a show me story. Both companies have certainly had terrible capital raises.
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2170 articles about companies over $50M
Broken Moats on X
CFO change and rapid insider selling at $CACC ....could not begin to understand why the stock is up 20% in the past two weeks and nearly 50% ytd. Tougher float dynamics then you would want to see for a short but sure is tempting up here
Pershing Square Challenge 2026 finalists on MSA Safety: a hidden quality compounder? $MSA
MSA Safety’s Pershing Square Challenge finalists pitch gas-detection subscriptions, mandated SCBA replacement cycles and a 2023 liability…
mavix on X
Shelly Group $SLYG sees growing importance of intelligent building automation amid increasing summer heatwaves. Intelligent control of cooling, shading and energy consumption is becoming increasingly important. •Shelly sees attractive long-term growth opportunities. https://t.co/WmjPiUUf1Y
Tim Eriksen on X
@thewritser @CapitalShipyard At first glance that is the worst structured rights offering I have seen in quite awhile. Great for the group backstopping it. $MCDIF
Why I Bought a Deep-in-the-Money META Call Instead of Shares
Meta investor bought a $350 December 2028 call for $26,901, preserving $28,123 versus 100 shares while betting AI and data-center spending…
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Bought a bunch of $CMCSA on this fade back to around $25. While it will take around a year to breakup the business (and they don’t plan to buyback stock during this time), separating media/theme parks from cable should be very accretive to the valuation.
Quick Value #320 - Somnigroup (SGI)
Somnigroup’s $2.5 billion all-stock Leggett & Platt acquisition adds vertical integration as the bedding leader targets mid-single-digit…
[ZTS] Zoetis could use a booster shot
Zoetis’ pet-drug blockbusters have shifted its mix from low-growth livestock medicines to durable companion-animal franchises with softer…
Weekend Digest 348: Buy-And-Hold Purchases: MKTX, BSX, BAH, JD, Various LatAm Names
Weekend Digest 348 adds MarketAxess, Boston Scientific, JD and Walmex to a buy-and-hold portfolio, alongside views on Colombian markets,…
A Growing Business at a Discount to Its Own Cash
GrabAGun’s $68 million market capitalization sits below $98.5 million net cash, while PEW Logistics and ammunition subscriptions target…
$FOX dropped 25% buying $ROKU. Is the market wrong? | Simeon McMillan, Accrued Interest
Fox’s $22 billion Roku deal cut FOXA 25%, but Simeon McMillan argues Roku’s streaming-TV reach, advertising upside and synergies make the…
Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)
Wingstop generates most of its $697 million revenue from franchise royalties across a 3,153-restaurant, 98%-franchised system while…
Staying the course on H&R REIT
H&R REIT’s renewed talks with Blackstone cover some assets, following office and U.S.
Tidewater (TDW): a first-pass look
Tidewater’s $22,600 average day rate and $598 million FY2025 EBITDA rest on an aging OSV fleet, scant newbuilds and fleet acquisitions…
The Biggest Bull Signal On Entravision
Entravision’s lost Meta relationship reset its business model, setting up a bullish case for the company’s recovery.
SAP: DCF Valuation
SAP’s DCF valuation sets a $260 base-case target versus a $155.09 ADR price, based on cloud migration, AI efficiencies and expanding EBIT…
marginofdanger on X
@RealJimChanos When a 40 year old analyst at Pershing has a stake in $PS worth $1 bn, not only does it tell me that $PS is overvalued, but it also confirms how horrible Ackman's judgment is in allocating such a large percentage of the firm to a well coiffed colleague without any track record.
Duffy’s Last Dance
CME CEO Terry Duffy moves to executive chairman while suing the CFTC over Kalshi’s approval to list perpetual futures, defending CME’s…
Broken Moats on X
crazy moves both directions over the past month away from AI... $GOLF +30% has got my attention. 30x next years numbers for a low single digit retailer seems odd.
Mike on X
Good results recently for $MEI https://t.co/pw7Uhce7ZB
PAA Research on X
How strong is the momentum factor? Maybe more than you think. This post was prompted by a data point referenced by Sebastian Page at @TRowePrice this AM on @BloombergTV. Sebastian pointed out that if you simply bought the TEN best performing stocks from the previous 12-months at the start of each month and repeated that process every month, you would have outperformed the market by 40% ANNUALLY for the past 3-years. That's stunning. Here's a visual that underscores the point. Since September 2023, the @InvescoUS S&P 500 momentum ETF ($SPMO) has outperformed the S&P 500 by 100%! That has NEVER happened before. The $SPMO is only recalibrated TWICE a year and has 100 positions, but it still has captured the momentum factor driving price action in this market. Today the $SPMO is up 3%+ in large part because of its 11% weighting in $MU. One thing is clear: these "alligator jaws" in the chart below WILL close. For now as @todd_harrison says, you don't get to trade the market you want, just the one you have....
Broken Moats on X
@jonathanmaze Thanks for the insight! I don't live near a Caseys so could not conduct my own taste test but was overlaying wingstop locations on top of Caseys yesterday thinking this could be a growing problem for $WING especially undercut on $
marginofdanger on X
$APTL is a tiny HIGHLY ILLIQUID OTC nano-cap that consists of two businesses that serve lower Alaska (essentially the tail of Alaska that extends toward lower British Columbia): 1) an electric utility and 2) a regional telco. These businesses generate $25 million of EBITDA and in my view the stock price in the low 80s reflects a discounted valuation on these two very stable assets. However, there is a third asset that could potentially be worth MULTIPLES of the current stock price that investors are essentially getting for free: Sealink Networks, which has the only approved landing zone for subsea cables in the state of Washington in a city called Westport. There are other landing zones in the lower 48, primarily in Oregon and Northern California, which provide connectivity to the Far East. The Westport landing spot will have capacity for six subsea cables. One cable will connect Western Washington to APTL's assets in lower Alaska, and could also serve other telcos in Alaska. The other five cables are currently being marketed to HYPERSCALER CLIENTS (i.e., Amazon, Microsoft, Google, etc.). The terms of these contracts are unknown, but my suspicion is that they will be 20-30 year contracts matching the useful life of the cables. When you have multiple trillion dollar companies competing for a scarce asset, you could easily see them paying literally any amount reasonable for this Far East conduit. I have no idea what APTL will be able to charge for these, but could it be $10 mm per line? $100 mm? APTL's market cap right now is ~$70mm. The company's recent buyback action is VERY TELLING: They just bought back ~250k shares by forcing retirements of retired employees in the pension plan and also have a deferred buyback of ~140k shares from an exiting shareholder (1/3 done, the other 2/3 over the next two years). Between the two transactions, this represents a 30% reduction in the share count! Because the company has a large ESOP ownership, they are required to put out an annual valuation. While I do not know for sure, the company's most recent valuation is ~$90/share and while I'm not sure I do not believe there is any real valuation in that number for the Westport landing spot. In conclusion, I don't know if the stock is worth $90, $190, $290, $390/share, etc. Ultimately it comes down to whether $APTL just happens to be at the perfect place at the perfect time. Do they succeed in convincing someone at Microsoft or Google to pay a nine figure rounding error to APTL? Or does APTL drop the ball and leave a lot of money on the table? It's anyone's guess. This is my favorite idea right now. But be very careful as the float here is small and the stock is very illiquid. I haven't seen anyone write anything on this and I think its just a matter of time before they announce a contract and there is more attention and focus on the name.
