Deep Dive: Amazon (Updated)
Amazon’s AWS grew 28%, with a $364 billion backlog, supporting the case that up to $200 billion of annual AI capex can earn solid returns.
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Under The Hood - Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
Sprouts Farmers Market’s 483-store fresh-food format combines dedicated distribution, curated assortments and long-built site selection,…
Ian Bezek on X
Citigroup $C ... is it a credit card issuer or an investment bank/broker? I think the market's making the wrong call here, but I could be mistaken. https://t.co/SlQxPnmuGc
MercadoLibre: Valuation Model
MercadoLibre’s sum-of-the-parts model values commerce and payments on FCFF, credit on equity returns, producing a $1,980 base-case target…
Meta On the Offense!
Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 targets agentic enterprise work, backed by employee workflow data and 3,000 engineers building reinforcement-learning…
U-Haul Bought at the Top
U-Haul’s pandemic-era fleet purchases at inflated prices now drive higher depreciation and disposal losses as truck and van prices…
Broken Moats on X
Wish there were more stories like these, channels the ethos of Henry Ford. Not the wage part and 401k growth as much as it is $COST commitment to this family's health care needs and work schedule to accommodate unfortunate life circumstances. A true virtuous cycle here of being a good corporate citizen and employer, being honest and fair with consumers and being rewarded with strong loyalty and financial success. Makes you want to be a Costco shopper (current) and shareholder (not yet) when you read this:
Raging Capital Ventures on X
@wallstengine Short form is eating $NFLX alive too
Broken Moats on X
$WDFC results are staggering when you read through them....then you get to the guidance and it does not reflect the monstrous quarter they just posted (relatively the same as the guide from Q1)....something is off with this company, they are either one of the worst non micro cap companies at forecasting their business (not a great endorsement of management and their processes). AND/OR they are playing games with inventory to influence the stock. I will reserve my own comments for private, but if you look back in recent years there are some odd swings in Asian /Chinese inventories in given quarters. Fascinated how a product that has been around forever with wide distribution posts a +30% print in Americas, 24% company wide. And the guide moves from 5-9% to 6-9% growth for the year?? What is going on?
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Kalshi looking at rolling out perpetual futures…. Perps are super interesting, à la Hyperliquid / $PURR, and have the potential to be very disruptive across the capital markets ecosystem https://t.co/L0JHZdJu4O
[scuttlebits] CPRT, ADBE, FIG, NVDA, QCOM, FDS, Memory chips
Copart’s returning CEO Jay Adair plans to restart European expansion and build domestic whole-car sales on its global buyer network amid…
Ian Bezek on X
@sidecarcap Understand this view if you're new, but Smith has been off-course for five years now. I got worried back in fall 2021 when he bought $AMZN at the dead top right after saying for a decade that he'd never buy Amazon because it was low-margin. He sold it in '23 for a 40% loss.
Nat Stewart on X
@GardinerIsland $BSM has kinda muffled volatility relatively speaking if you don't mind a K-1, have a pretty good plan to grow production on their land next ~5 yrs (they own royalty interests), systematically hedge ~75% of production.
Ian Bezek on X
@sequentanalyst @moneyandmore72 Fundsmith bought $app? Terry Smith must be rolling over in his grave.
Deep Dive: Palantir ($PLTR)
Palantir’s forward-deployed engineering model underpins its AI software growth, but AWS, Microsoft and AI labs are copying it at scale as…
Hated Moats Brief: SAP in 10 Minutes
SAP’s deeply embedded ERP systems support its cloud transition, but slowing backlog growth and AI disruption fears drove a 33% YTD share…
Quick Value #321 - Mobility Global (MBGL)
Mobility Global, S&P Global’s automotive-data spin-off, trades at about 10x 2026 EBITDA and 12x EPS after technical selling.
Mike on X
They were! $WULF signed deal with Anthropic today https://t.co/82fVRUxJtN
Blackstone's Subs - Inside the Jersey Mike's IPO.
Jersey Mike’s IPO filing shows 47% adjusted EBITDA margin after Blackstone cut founder spending, ad subsidies and Area Director fees, while…
Microsoft: Undervalued & Undisruptable!
Microsoft is framed as an undervalued, durable business whose competitive position is unlikely to be disrupted.
marginofdanger on X
Is anyone looking at these busted digital treasury companies? A quick glance suggests a bunch of them are trading at 50%+ discounts to NAV with otherwise clean balance sheets. Will they all merge in stock for stock deals? Or convert into ETFs? $BRR $XXI $BMNR
SAP: Deep Dive Analysis
SAP’s deeply embedded ERP suite creates high switching costs as it moves customers to cloud subscriptions and embeds AI in core workflows.
Stretch Marks
Strategy owns 847,363 Bitcoin and funded $13.7 billion of purchases this year with Stretch preferred stock, a variable-dividend security…
Adding a beer stock in size
Molson Coors, a 7% portfolio position, is the world’s fourth-largest brewer with leading beer shares in Canada and the US through Coors and…
